Home Columnists Bear in the Square: Our bets for the weekend club GAA action

Bear in the Square: Our bets for the weekend club GAA action

The Heath

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We have a full round of club fixtures to look forward to this weekend in the football championship in Laois. The first round two weeks ago generally went to form, six of the eight favourites won, one draw and a surprise defeat for 2016 champions Stradbally by The Heath.

In this weekend’s betting we will recommend one potential surprise and an accumulator to try and replenish the funds after a busy bank holiday weekend.

We have identified two games this weekend that may potentially not go the way the bookies expect.

One to bet on … 

Arles Kilcruise 4/11 v Killeshin 5/2 Draw 15/2 

The bookies have Kilcruise too short for this game. Although they deserve to be slight favourites, we feel Killeshin have a serious chance here. Unlucky to beaten by Graiguecullen, they have the potential to be big players in the senior championship for years to come.

One caveat though is their use of their best defender, Stephen Attride and their best forward, Eoin Lowry in midfield. Maybe a restoration of those players to their best positions could tip the balance in Killeshin’s favour. We recommend a 1 point stake on Killeshin at 5/2 in Paddy Power.

One to avoid … 

The other game which we feel that bookies may have mispriced is the clash of championship favourites Portlaoise 1/8 and O’Dempseys 9/2.

Portlaoise are deservedly favourites but at 1/8 that is too short. We would have Portlaoise at 2/5. Conor Meredith returns for the Killenard men and as league champions they are in great form coming into this.

Portlaoise did not set the world alright in the first round (especially in second half) against Kilcruise and this may be closer than the bookies think. 9/2 is a big price in a two horse race. We are stopping short of recommending O’Dempsey’s for the win but will be avoiding Portlaoise in our accumulators.

Accumulator

We believe that Arles-Killeen and Crettyard should win this weekend. Graiguecullen at 4/5 are good value to beat the Heath. Evin Keane is still away and we think that Graigue’s physicality should be enough to beat The Heath.

We are avoiding Portarlington who can be inconsistent and St Joseph’s who still have a number of players in America. We go outside Laois to neighbouring counties to finalise our Acca. We feel Palatine should defeat Old Leighlin in Carlow football and that Mullinavat will defeat St Martins in Kilkenny hurling.

We advise a 1 point stake on Arles Killeen (1/6), Crettyard (4/11), Graiguecullen (4/5), Palatine (4/11) and Mullinavat (1/2), this comes in as odds of just under 5/1.

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The Bear in the Square is your home for all things GAA Betting related. The idea was created by two friends who shared a combined love of GAA, raw full backs, big full forwards, Ciaran McDonald and gambling. Noticing there was an ever increasing focus and hunger for GAA coverage in the media, they established their blog gaabettingtips.blogspot.com and twitter page @bearnthesquare in February 2017. After researching the available markets for both Club & Intercounty games, selections are made which weight from 0-5points, with 5pts being the top pick. Since Bear in the Square was set up, they have successfully delivered over 36 points profit to their followers. Our aim for 2017 is to reach 100pts profit and see the glory days return to both Mayo and Offaly.